Expected Distribution Of Cotton: Analysis Of Global Cotton Market
1. Global cotton planting and distribution changes
In the past 20 years, the global cotton harvest area has maintained a range of fluctuations, no significant increase or decrease trend
In the past two decades, the global cotton harvest area has changed from 30 million hectares to 36 million hectares, and there is no obvious trend of increase or decrease.
In the past two decades, global cotton production fluctuated between 19 million and 27 million tons. There was no trend of increase compared with that in the last ten years.
2. Distribution of cotton in different continents of the world
Asia: the king of output
Among all continents in the world, the area of cotton in Asia accounts for 60% (calculated according to the data of 21 / 22), and the output reaches 56%, accounting for the first place. The main cotton producing countries are India, China, Pakistan, Turkey and many countries in Central Asia (mainly Uzbekistan, accounting for more than 60%).
America - the second largest producer in the world
Among all the continents in the world, the second largest cotton production is America, with an area of 19.8% and a yield of 28%. South America mainly includes Brazil, Argentina and Mexico, and North America is the United States.
Africa - the third largest producer with low yield per unit area
Among all continents in the world, the area of cotton in Africa accounts for 11%, and the proportion of cotton output is 5.88%, ranking the third.
Oceania - lowest yield, high yield per unit area
Australia is the main cotton planting country in Oceania, with an area of 1.86% and a yield of 4.73%.
3. The order of harvest area, yield per unit area and output of main producing countries in the world
According to the cotton production, the main cotton producing countries are China, India, the United States, Pakistan, Brazil, Australia, Uzbekistan, Turkey and other places, accounting for 75% - 80%.
According to the size of the harvest, the order is Australia, Brazil, and China.
According to the yield per unit area, they are Australia, China, Brazil, the United States, Pakistan and India.
India:
1. Planting distribution: 16% in the north, 56% in the middle and 26% in the south.
2. Sowing and harvesting schedule: April to May and October to November in the north, may to June and November to December in the middle, June to July and December to January in the south. 3. Area, yield and yield trend: in recent years, India's cotton harvest area shows an increasing trend, and the yield and yield range fluctuate, and the trend of yield and yield is similar.
China:
1. Planting distribution: the yield of Xinjiang accounts for more than 90%.
2. Sowing and harvesting schedule: planting from April to June and harvesting from September to November.
3. Trend of area, yield per unit area: the area fluctuated little in recent years, basically maintained in the range of 3100-3500 thousand hectares; The yield per unit area increased slowly; The output range fluctuates.
U.S.A:
1. Planting distribution: 21% in the southeast, 15% in the south-east, 60% in the southwest and 3% in the West.
2. Sowing and harvesting schedule: planting from April to June and harvesting from September to November.
3. Area, yield and yield trend: there is no obvious trend of increase and decrease in cotton area and yield in the United States, but the yield per unit area is relatively stable.
Brazil:
1. Planting distribution: 70% in the central and western regions, 5% in the central and southern regions and 25% in the northeast.
2. Sowing and harvesting schedule: the planting period in the main production area is from November to February, and the harvest is from June to September.
The trend of yield and area per unit area increased gradually in recent 20 years.
Pakistan:
1. Planting distribution: 66% in Punjab and 33% in Sindh.
2. Sowing and harvesting schedule: planting from April to June and harvesting from September to November.
3. Area, unit yield and yield trend: the area has been declining since 2016; The unit area yield fluctuates in the range; The trend of yield decrease.
Australia:
1. Planting distribution: 37% in Queensland and 63% in New South Wales.
2. Sowing and harvesting schedule: planting from October to December and harvesting from March to June.
3. Area, yield and yield trend: Australia's cotton yield ranks first in the world, and the area and yield fluctuate greatly, and there is no obvious trend of increase or decrease.
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