The Market Of Dezhou City Of Shandong Province Shows A Strong And Weak Trend.

< p > recently, the price of cottonseed in Dezhou city of Shandong province has dropped at a high level. According to the enterprise, there has been a cold deal recently, and some dealers are selling psychology.

< /p >

< p > the main price of the cotton seed with better local quality is 1.41 yuan / Jin, and the 5 grade cottonseed price is 1.33 yuan / Jin, which is down 0.02-0.03 yuan / Jin compared with 2 days.

The reasons for the decline are: first, the number of local cottonseeds is small, which is difficult to attract large customers to purchase. The sporadic cottonseeds owned by enterprises can only be delivered to the door.

"There are still more than 10 thousand catties, which have contacted several customers. They are not worth running."

Zhang manager, director of an enterprise, said that they could only take the initiative to reduce the price of the goods to attract customers to the factory, but they still could not find customers willing to pick up the goods.

Most of the local ginning mills have already changed vegetable oil or soya bean oil, and few of them are still out of stock.

Two, the quality of cottonseed dropped significantly.

In the recent market, the phenomenon of "mixed seeds" appears, that is, some manufacturers have mixed up the grade 4 cottonseed with better quality with the 5 grade cottonseed which has been rolled out recently for profit, and the quality is greatly reduced.

Three is a large number of rapeseed listed in the near future, enterprises have pressed vegetable oil, the pressing of cotton seed is rare, and the demand for cottonseed in the later period is expected to be reduced greatly.

< /p >

< p > "the climax of cottonseed may be over, and it is likely to continue to fall in the near future."

A person who has been engaged in cottonseed trade for many years said that it was obviously rainy in Shandong this year. With the advent of the rainy season, cottonseed preservation will be more difficult. With the decrease of seed consumption in the oil refineries, the later cotton ginning plants and sales will likely increase the selling power, so the "gate" of cottonseed fall will be opened and the market outlook will be worried.

< /p >

< p > it is understood that the current psychology of local ginning plants and distributors is selling quickly and keeping bags at ease.

"Some large oil refineries in Xiajin, Liaocheng and other places used to make phone inquiries last week, and these days even the phone was not available."

Zhang Hua, a ginning factory, said that they had more than 30 thousand jin of cotton seeds, all of which were 4 grade cotton seeds for storage, and the oil yield was above 9%, but they were worried about sales for two days.

He said that as long as the oil mill came to pick up the goods locally, he could make a few cents on the price.

Local enterprises have a majority in mind.

< /p >

< p > the market thinks that the cotton seed is still weak and the latter is not optimistic.

The reasons are as follows: < /p >

< p > 1, the cotton oil market is weak and stable, and the latter price increase is almost impossible.

On the same day, the mainstream price of local cottonseed oil was 7100 yuan / ton, and the stock of cotton oil in the oil extraction plant was generally high.

The market thinks that the cottonseed oil can still "hold on" under the attack of "combination boxing" of soybean oil and rapeseed oil, and cost support plays an important role. Later, once the price of cottonseed is reduced, the trend of cottonseed oil will not be optimistic.

< /p >

< p > 2, cottonseed meal high callback, late trend confused.

The market believes that the root cause of the recent increase in cottonseed is the shortage of cottonseed meal and the continued price increase.

After entering late June, cottonseed meal appeared "high consolidation" signs.

Many local businesses have reported that the sales of cottonseed meal have been weakening in recent days, which has aroused the industry's vigilance.

Market participants believe that the late cottonseed meal will be more affected by rapeseed meal, and the possibility of continuing to go up is not very large.

< /p >

< p > in view of the "dangerous" trend of cottonseed's biggest influence on cottonseed oil and cottonseed meal, local enterprises have begun to be cautious and adopt a conservative attitude.

< /p >

< p > since the afternoon of July 1st, heavy rain has fallen in Heze, Shandong. The rainfall has reached 140 millimeters. The drought has cleared up in the long drought, and the cotton field has been released from drought.

< /p >

< p > June is a critical period for local farmers to rush to gather seeds and gather seeds. However, the effective rainfall in June is very small, which has a great impact on farmers.

According to the understanding of Heze's agriculture department, the planting area of cotton in 2013/14 is about 1 million 600 thousand mu, and the lint yield is estimated to be 150 thousand tons. In the Heze cotton area, the information network members have learned that the largest planting area is the garlic cotton intercropping area in Chengwu county and the melon and cotton intercropping area in Dongming county.

At present, the average number of fruit branches is 8-10 sets per plant.

The cotton planting area in Caoxian has reached 1 million mu at most. According to Liu Chunji, director of Caoxian's famous cotton king and Hui farmers planting co operative Committee, at present, there are few cotton growing areas in the area. The growth is far from that of last year. Most of the planting areas are mainly located in the fields and corners, and cotton farmers seldom manage them.

< /p >

< p > Liu Sheng, a technical consultant, agronomist and Mudan District Agricultural Bureau of Heze Lu Yi cotton planting Association, said that under the guidance of the cooperatives, the local cotton grew very well. At present, the plant height reached 90cm, with an average fruit branch of about 10 plants per plant, and the growth rate was better than that of the same period last year.

< /p >

Below P, we can see from the fact that a single smallholder cropping pattern is no longer suitable for cotton, and cooperative planting is becoming more common.

< /p >