The Biggest Black Hole In The Epidemic Or The "Two Bottom" Of Global Trade, Market Improvement Or Just Wishful Thinking!

In March 24th, in order to contain the spread of the new crown disease, the Prime Minister of India announced the implementation of a 21 day closed measure throughout the country. India is the world's largest importing and exporting country of textile products because of the implementation of the world's largest national blockade in India because of the new crown outbreak. In view of the long time of the city closure and the uncertainty of the outbreak in India, we need to pay attention to the impact on the world, especially China's textile products. Because this is the real "King explosion"!

India's oil demand plunged 70% in the world's third largest consumer of crude oil

According to India refinery sources, the demand for crude oil, the world's third largest oil consumer, has plummeted by 70%.

This figure clearly demonstrates the challenges facing the oil producing countries, which are bargaining for output agreements and trying to revive the global energy industry. According to people in India refinery, India's oil consumption in the whole month is probably only 50% of last year's level, given that the three week national blockade in India is scheduled to end in April 15th.

According to data compiled by Peng Bo, this is equivalent to an astonishing 3 million 100 thousand barrels of oil daily demand. The world's largest oil producer has 10 million barrels per day, which means that only one country in India will offset 1/3.

"This is an unprecedented situation. I have never seen anything like this in my life," said R.S. Sharma, former chairman of Oil and Natural Gas Corp, India's largest oil producer. "The market is very volatile and the situation will further deteriorate," Sharma once led Oil and Natural Gas Corp during the 2008 financial crisis.

The scale of shrinking demand also indicates that India may plan to increase strategic oil reserves. There are only 15 million barrels of spare capacity in the country's strategic reserves. Speakers of India's Ministry of petroleum and Bharat Petroleum Corp. and Hindustan Petroleum Corp. declined to comment.

The blockade has caused a devastating blow to fuel demand. India's three state-owned refineries account for more than 90% of the country's fuel sales. According to the people familiar with the matter, these refineries predict that gasoline demand will drop by 60% in April compared with the same period last year, and diesel demand will be reduced by 40%.

More than 50 thousand containers are in detention. The peak date of breaking the contract in late April will come.

Influenced by India's sealing up, over two weeks, India's trade, production and transportation (including shipping, shipping) and exchanges have been greatly reduced or even cancelled.

According to statistics, as of the first ten days of April, several ports in India were closed and over 50 thousand containers were left behind. India's cotton processing and export, cotton gauze production and sales, clothing, foreign trade and other industrial chains have been strongly impacted. Not only did the spinning and weaving enterprises start a sharp decline in their start-up rates, but also the number of closed doors increased, and the unemployment rate continued to rise.

A cotton exporter in India said that since the late March, domestic cotton consumption demand and cotton exporters pressed the "pause button" at the same time; in addition, European and American purchasing enterprises and retailers have cancelled orders or unlimited delayed shipment, so the situation is deteriorating step by step. It is hoped that the government departments will lift the measures of "sealing the country and sealing the city" as soon as possible, so as to restore the cotton textile production and cotton and cotton yarn export business to normal.

According to the survey, due to the sharp decline in the price of cotton and cotton in India, a part of cotton and cotton yarn export contracts can not be implemented, and the fact is broken. If the contract can not be shipped and fulfilled before and after the end of April, the peak of the destruction will come as scheduled.

Enterprises look forward to unlocking, lifting the ban, I am afraid it is wishful thinking.

As an important import and export country of domestic textiles, although cotton, textile and garment enterprises look forward to unlocking and lifting the ban, I am afraid they are wishful thinking. The specific reasons are as follows:

First, the epidemic in India is accelerating to spread to the slums, which will make the country another center of outbreak in the world.

Two, the detection standard and cost of detection capability are not enough, which restricts the expansion of coverage in India.

Three, after the return of migrant workers and religious gatherings, the spread of believers, the outbreak of scattered points, lack of necessary medical conditions, so that the outbreak of a humanitarian crisis in India.